Hindsight bias

Hindsight bias is a type of cognitive bias that involves overestimating your ability to predict an event after it has already occurred. This can lead to an exaggerated sense of confidence in your own judgement and decision-making abilities.

Hindsight bias can be seen in a variety of contexts, from sports and politics to personal relationships and business decisions. For example, after a sporting event, you may feel that the winning team was always going to win, even if you didn't predict that outcome beforehand.

To avoid hindsight bias, it's important to remain aware of your own cognitive biases and to evaluate your decisions based on the information that was available to you at the time. By doing so, you can make more accurate judgements and avoid overestimating your own abilities.



Hindsight bias